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Do I invest in stocks or bonds?

Al Edwards, Acting Financial Editor

BEFORE setting out on this article I wanted to ascertain for myself whether people were au fait with the difference between stocks and bonds. The highlight of my little survey ­ "Look here man most man do know the difference preferred livestock to preferred stock" ­ That says it all really.

Despite the fact that stocks are volatile, historically, they have out-performed bonds over long periods of time.

To therefore shed some light on the matter a comparison of stocks to alternative investments in the bond markets should give the investor a clearer picture of the differences in the rates of return and the risks.

Bond investments offer less variability in returns than common stocks: 8.4 per cent for long-term corporate bonds versus 20.5 per cent for common stock tends to be the norm.

However, if there is a long investment period, the higher variability risks for common stocks can be averaged, resulting in higher returns for stocks.

Common stocks represent ownership in a corporation, where-as bonds are IOUs and bondholders are debt-holders, or creditors. Investors in common stocks are the owners of a corporation and are entitled to voting rights and a claim on income and assets. As to the latter, common stockholders stand last in line in their right to share in the income and assets.

Shareholders are entitled to receive dividends only after the bondholders and preferred stockholders have been paid. Similarly, in bankruptcy, the claims of bondholders are settled first, while common stockholders are last in line for the collection of any remaining proceeds from the liquidation of assets.

Investors in common stocks are not guaranteed dividends. Dividends on common stocks are declared at the discretion of company's board of directors. If the board decides to use the money for alternative purposes or if earnings go down, dividends may be reduced or may not be declared. By contrast, investors in

bonds can count on a steady stream of interest income. Thus, investors who cannot tolerate the reduced or terminated flows of current income should not buy common stock.

Investors are strongly attracted to common stocks for their ability to provide for capital growth over long periods of time. Bonds also offer the potential for capital appreciation (an increase in the selling price over the purchase price), but investors invest in bonds primarily for current income.

This comparison of some of the characteristics of stocks and bonds highlights the following reasons why investors should also consider investing some of their portfolios in bonds:

  • Due to the higher volatility of stocks over bonds, investors might not want to be 100-per cent invested in stocks. According to one study (Ibbotson), stocks were three times more volatile than bonds in the 64 years after 1926. The worst year for U.S. intermediate-term bonds was 1994, in which they fell 5.1 per cent in value. The worst year for stocks was 1991, when stock prices fell by 43.3 per cent

    By diversifying and investing some of their portfolios in bonds, investors may lower their risk of loss due to a stock market downturn.

  • In the current economic climate, bonds offer positive real rates of return. Bonds offer a steady stream of income, whereas stockholders are not guaranteed the receipt of dividends. If inflation remains low, around the current 1.5-per cent annual rate and bonds continue to yield nominal returns between five and six per cent, then bonds can still provide positive real rates of return of around four per cent, which exceed those of bank accounts and Treasury bills. The S & P dividend yield for stocks is currently around 1.5 per cent, which means that bond returns exceed those of common stocks with regard to income. Stocks of small companies generally pay no dividends.

  • Investors who are risk-averse or have shorter investment horizons might shun stocks in favour of bonds to protect against possible downturns in the stock market, which could cause losses in principal in the short term.

  • With the recent, excessively high valuations in the stock market, it may be a good time to take some profits in some of these stocks and put the money into bonds, if there is a short-term need for some of this money.

  • Investors in high tax brackets can reduce their federal, state, and/or local taxes by investing in municipal bonds and Government bonds.

    For long periods, however, investing in common stocks offers the following advantages over bonds:

  • The potential for greater average rates of return.

  • The ability to reduce local income taxes. Capital gains on common stocks are only taxed when the stocks are sold (at lower marginal rates than ordinary income such as interest and dividends), whereas interest income from bonds (and dividends from common stocks) are taxed when they are earned. Although if the Jamaica Chamber of Commerce (JCC) had its way the whole issue of capital gains and earnings in this country would be made more equitable.

  • The potential for keeping ahead of the rate of inflation.

    Here is a summary of some of the conditions conducive in choosing stocks and bonds.

  • 1. Investing in the stock market provides for the long-term growth of a portfolio.

  • 2. Investors who have a long time horizon (more than five to 10 years) and who do not need the income from the investments should stick with stocks.

  • 3. Investing in the bond markets provides for current income. These investments are more suitable for investors who are risk-averse and who have shorter time horizons for the money.

    There are other factors to consider. If you have a long time horizon but you have difficulty sleeping at night when the stock market goes down, then stocks may not be right for you.

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