Gwynne Dyer, Contributor

"Michael Ignatieff strode back into Canada bearing gilt-edged promises that he had kept a close watch on our political evolution during his decades on foreign soil and that he would be appropriately sensitive to our socio-political nuances. He then, by stating a position on Quebec as a nation, proceeded to break our single most important political taboo. It is as if a papal candidate had suddenly barged into a Catholic church and set the altar ablaze."

So ran the lead editorial of one of Canada's two national newspapers, The National Post, on the day after the blaze spread to the roof. When Michael Ignatieff, a candidate for the leadership of the Liberal Party and therefore potentially a future prime minister, declared last June that he saw the mainly French-speaking province of Quebec as "a nation" within Canada, and was open to new negotiations to enshrine that concept in the constitution, he reopened the wound that never really heals, and condemned the country to another constitutional crisis.

Last month, taking their lead from Ignatieff, the Quebec branch of the Liberal Party adopted a resolution calling for the party to recognise "the Quebec nation within Canada," and to "officialise this historical and social reality." Then the separatist Quebec Party in the federal Parliament, the Bloc Quebecois, seized on that to introduce a bill demanding "that this House recognise that Quebecers form a nation."

Too clever

The Bloc hoped the other parties would vote against the bill, thereby demonstrating their alleged hostility to French-speaking Quebecers and their aspirations, but Prime Minister Stephen Harper was too clever for them. Last Wednesday, he introduced a resolution declaring that Parliament "recognises that the Quebecois form a nation WITHIN A UNITED CANADA," and all the parties flocked to support it — even the Bloc Quebecois.

In one swift move Harper won support for his Conservative Party in Quebec in the next election, and boosted the chances that Michael Ignatieff, the easiest candidate to beat, will win the leadership of the Liberal Party. However, he also raised the spectre of Quebec separatism from its shallow grave.

The first referendum on independence in 1980 was defeated 60-40, but after two failed attempts at constitutional reform the second referendum in 1995 came within a hair's-breadth of saying "yes". Canada has now almost certainly embarked, willy-nilly, on a third attempt at constitutional reform, regardless of how much the present government denies it.

But a third attempt at finding a constitutional formula that will satisfy both nationalist Quebecois and the English-speaking majority in the other nine provinces is almost certainly doomed to failure for the same reasons as the first two: there is no such formula.

Prime Minister Harper bears a good deal of blame for this train-wreck with his too-clever resolution declaring the Quebecois to be a nation "within a united Canada," but the true responsibility lies with Michael Ignatieff, a Canadian-born academic and journalist who had lived abroad for 27 consecutive years before he arrived in Canada from Harvard University last year to offer the Liberal Party and the country his leadership.

Lesson

The lesson that most Canadians (including most French-Canadians) had gleaned from the long and gruelling ordeal of referenda and constitutional crises was that the country worked perfectly well in practice, but could not be made to work in theory - so stop obsessing about constitutional principles. But Ignatieff was absent for all that time, and he simply hadn't grasped the lesson.

In the words of Ken Dryden, also at one point a Liberal leadership candidate, Ignatieff "bumped into a chair and woke the dog up." But he will probably be long gone, back to Harvard or some other ivory tower, before the storm really hits Canada.

Gwynne Dyer is a London-based independent journalist whose articles are published in 45 countries.