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Stabroek News

Brent crude settles at US$77
published: Tuesday | July 17, 2007

Oil slipped on Monday as traders took profits and refinery restarts in the United States eased worries of a summer gasolene crunch.

The dip into negative territory came after oil production problems in the North Sea and a wave of fund buying earlier brought crude within 25 cents of the record price.

London Brent, seen as the best indication of global oil prices, settled down 24 cents to US$77.33 a barrel after having risen to a peak of US$78.40 earlier in the day, just shy of the record US$78.65 struck on August 8, 2006.

U.S. crude settled up 22 cents at US$74.15 a barrel. "Brent is down more on profit-taking than anything else, since that market has risen so sharply. People are reacting to that, rethinking their positions," said Nauman Barakat, senior vice-president at Macquarie Futures U.S.A.

The market was also pressured by a 9.86-cent slump in U.S. gasolene futures to US$2.1262 a gallon as oil refineries in the United States restarted key processing units.

"Gasolene is down basically because there is expectation that growing supplies are sufficient to meet demand and that refineries will continue to produce near or at record levels," said Phil Flynn, analyst at Alaron Trading in Chicago.

Energy analysts expect that U.S. gasolene supplies rose last week by 900,000 barrels, the third consecutive weekly build, according to a Reuters poll.

Stockpiles to be released

The U.S. government will release its next snapshot of petroleum stockpiles in the world's biggest energy consumer on Wednesday.

Seasonal maintenance and unanticipated outages on North Sea oil fields had fuelled a near three-week rally, lifting Brent by more than $7 since late June.

Speculative investors aided the rally by pushing cash into the commodity amid concerns world demand growth would continue to stretch production capacity.

Speculators in the New York Mercantile Exchange crude oil market boosted net long positions to a record high in the week ending July 10, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reported on Friday.

"As long as the large speculative funds can continue to finance the same supportive action as in the last 10 days, it is hard to see a stop of the upward move," said Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix.

Goldman Sachs said in a Monday research note oil prices could reach US$90 a barrel this autumn and US$95 a barrel by the end of the year if the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries does not ease production cuts that have helped tighten global markets.

But OPEC says world oil demand next year will grow moderately while supply from rival producers will expand, reducing the need for crude from the producer group.

- Reuters

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